Friday, December 23, 2005

Fatality Trends

Using the Iraq Coalition Casualties data, it appears that this month will be another (relative to May, June, August, October, and November) low fatality one, with only 40 combat and 8 non-combat deaths so far (which would predict 56 and 11 for the entire month).

I have a feeling that this trend will likely last the month and maybe one more month, but then fatality rates will climb again.

This New Year's, I will try to gauge the accuracy of all of my predictions for 2005, and to make new predictions for 2006. But for now, this little prediction will have to do.

That is all.

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