According to the Iraq Coalition Casualty Count, as of October 3, there have been only 2 coalition fatalities for them month.
This gives me two predictions:
Either (a) there have been fatalities that haven't been counted up yet (I often notice deaths added to the count two or three days after they occur), or (b) October 2004, like September 2003 and February 2004, is going to show a lull in casualties which will be followed by an uptick, and then in December, we will have another November 2003 and April 2004 - like spike in casualties.
I believe that casualty drops tend to indicate that we are lowering our profile, and they are often associated with an increase in unrest between Iraqis.
Apparently in Samarra we have taken control of a lot of the city. Whether the Iraqi divisions will remain loyal to us remains to be seen.
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