Currently, the trends in casualties for October are down - 1 hostile coalition death per day for October. Link
I have a feeling that Bush has decided to hold back during the month before the election in order to reduce casualties before the election.
How does that square with the capture of Samarra? I have a feeling that we don't have anywhere near the control of the city that the administration wants us to believe we have.
We'll see in a month if I am right. If casualties start suddenly going up, that will suggest something fishy going on. Moreover, if I am right, we should see a dramtic increase in successful attacks on Iraqis like we did in February, another low casualty month.
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